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Nov 2, 2012
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it is worth noting that there was a plan for mitt romney to go to nevada and that has been knocked off the agenda. in part because it is a longer flight out there and we are going to colorado so it would not be thatcy but it is a sign that mitt romney sees the polls shifting to obama in nevada and not mitt romney. pennsylvania, he is going, and wisconsin we are there, where the polls have narrowed and wisconsin because of paul ryan's addition to the ticket. that is a state they did not expect to have a shot. pennsylvania is a key player if you believe their calendar and spending and decision to go there. it would potentially help out if it went wrong in ohio, the romney campaign still says they are confident they can pull it off in ohio but recognize that president obama got steam there the last couple of days, so, pennsylvania could be part of a replacement strategy combined, perhaps, with ohio and colorado. ohio is always central to the victory central joy and he is doing a lot of scrambling and it could be a contingency plan but when the polls get this close with a lot of money lyin
it is worth noting that there was a plan for mitt romney to go to nevada and that has been knocked off the agenda. in part because it is a longer flight out there and we are going to colorado so it would not be thatcy but it is a sign that mitt romney sees the polls shifting to obama in nevada and not mitt romney. pennsylvania, he is going, and wisconsin we are there, where the polls have narrowed and wisconsin because of paul ryan's addition to the ticket. that is a state they did not expect...
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Nov 4, 2012
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guest: i would focus on nevada. in ohio, the thing to watch is how big the margin is coming out of cincinnati. host: here is the final question of the morning. will we know who was the next president on november 6 for november 7? guest: much more doubtful today that it was one week ago. a lot depends on what happens in ohio and with the provisional ballots. we will have to watch and see. the provisional ballots are more than the margin in ohio. we could be sitting here the day after or weeks after wondering who won the election. host: gentlemen, thank you. >> michele bachmann faces off against jim graves in the final debate in minnesota. rep michelle bachmann is in her third time -- third term and is a candidate for the 2012 election. jim graves has a background in business and is the founder and former ceo of the american hotel franchise. this debate was held in st. paul, minn., and is about all the minutes. ♪ [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite cor
guest: i would focus on nevada. in ohio, the thing to watch is how big the margin is coming out of cincinnati. host: here is the final question of the morning. will we know who was the next president on november 6 for november 7? guest: much more doubtful today that it was one week ago. a lot depends on what happens in ohio and with the provisional ballots. we will have to watch and see. the provisional ballots are more than the margin in ohio. we could be sitting here the day after or weeks...
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by the way, three states now declared, but if you go all the way west, colorado and nevada, that is how they did it. neil: it's interesting. on the health care, that doesn't change. it with a more emboldened, democratic senate everything stays. so in all the surveys, people like the health care. all of the jawboning about it now was standing in surprises to come next year in the year after , they liked it. >> and it is unbelievable. you just look at the key battleground states. north carolina, the only romney surprise. we were just talking about the green room. they did not target well enough. so it is a big night. neil: indeed. now what happens, the energy front, although the issues are beginning to run up on the prospect of the possibility of a round victory, that is not the case. what now? >> well, i think we will see a repeat in the next three or four years of well we saw the first three years of the obama administration. the nation's energy future will basically go into hibernation because the regulation, the epa in particular will attack hydraulic fracturing which has been a boon
by the way, three states now declared, but if you go all the way west, colorado and nevada, that is how they did it. neil: it's interesting. on the health care, that doesn't change. it with a more emboldened, democratic senate everything stays. so in all the surveys, people like the health care. all of the jawboning about it now was standing in surprises to come next year in the year after , they liked it. >> and it is unbelievable. you just look at the key battleground states. north...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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in nevada, north carolina, and here in battleground swing state of ohio. we're in the lorain county board of elections. they are not having problems here. but marion county, ohio, a woman said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times se said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has ever happened to me. >> election officials there say there is no problem. they blame human error that people bang the machine. secretary of state ofness ross miller tells us it's nearly technically impossible to preprogram the machines that similar allegations have been without merit. joan says check your vote. >> bret: keep pressing or let somebody know. >> exactly. paper trail, too, so check that also. >> okay. >> bret: thank you. a lot of things that were turned off and shut down because of hurricane sandy are back on tonight. we have two reports beginning with correspon
in nevada, north carolina, and here in battleground swing state of ohio. we're in the lorain county board of elections. they are not having problems here. but marion county, ohio, a woman said it happened to her. her name is joan stevens and she said he is voted for romney, up popped obama's name. did it again. three times se said until she was able to cast a correct ballot. >> i did know if it happened to anybody else or not but this is the first time in all the years we voted this has...
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Nov 7, 2012
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all this talkwas about ohio, florida, and even nevada, and california plays a prominent role, but that made it that much more exciting here. a lot of these sponsorshave been on the phone bank making those phone calling to voters telling them to vote, and that made ai difference >> we'll check back in a little while, joe. thanks frmg you cansee the tears of joy. we'll goto the republicans watching this ingnight's election >> we pretty much have an empty room, and they're dishartd by the obama victory. some say they are blamg themselves and are not true reforms and many are blaming romney romney >> they don't let people understand that lower tax rates are a good thing, that they ludicrously allowed obama to win that election >> i knew there was an issue when ohio was an issue. weneeded ohio to win this great >> do you think the republicans lost this or the democrats won this >> -- >> there will be increase in taxes and also new regulation, and frank tli they're saying this is going to leave open the door for congressional -- he pr indicted in two years we're going to have a republican go
all this talkwas about ohio, florida, and even nevada, and california plays a prominent role, but that made it that much more exciting here. a lot of these sponsorshave been on the phone bank making those phone calling to voters telling them to vote, and that made ai difference >> we'll check back in a little while, joe. thanks frmg you cansee the tears of joy. we'll goto the republicans watching this ingnight's election >> we pretty much have an empty room, and they're dishartd by...
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but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two candidates. we're going to take a quick break. comments are expected from mitt romney. now with the romney campaign refusing to concede ohio w to happen. we'll keep you posted. we'll be right back. cf:$ >>>arack obama. still up in theve. colorado for president obama. steve schmidt, what do you think? this is one more move towards maybe not needing ohio. >> this is another state whenp& you look at the numbers in colorado see the impacti mitt romney in a very bad way in that state. republicans had high hopes in colorado. >> we're getting all of this now and we still haven't heard from virginia yet and we ha
but in the other states that you see, nevada colorado florida, and virginia we are still waiting and we are ve open to the results of an concession speech maybe people should stay in line now to win the popular vote as well as the ee lk torllectoral vote. >> we stay in the line anyway. >> we agr stay electoral vote tally according to the projections of the various states are 274 for barack obama and 3 for mitt romney. vb49/49 with only a couple hundred thousand votes between the two...
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. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the spirit of money. i want people start making money and get rich again. that's why i'm wearing this. >> bob: one thing, colorado, other states voting on the legalization of marijuana today. draw the youth vote. >> greg: did they get off the couch? >> dana: can you offer the munchies at the polling booth? >> eric: >> bob: sure! >> eric: throw this out. we will know, we may know the fate of the next president. ohio, pennsylvania, virginia, florida. when you know those, it is pretty, pretty locked in when we know those four. >> dana: here we go. when we come back, we'll check in with campaign carl cameron spe
. >> dana: nevada, your favorite state. >> greg: i love nevada. i spent time in carson city against my will. >> bob: chicken ranch. >> greg: no, bob. i have nothing on nevada. tom arnold is not voting for his ex-wife rosanne as nominee for peace and freedom party. this is your ex-wife. support her. >> dana: peace and freedom party? >> greg: the i want more marijuana party. >> bob: what twitter are you wearing snowear today? >> greg: this is in the...
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nevada and then heidi heightcamp, former state official in north dakota who's in a very close race. so that could end up being a sizable amount of women coming to the senate. >> two interesting house races. gwen, i'm not sure which house race you're talking about. betty sutton was beaten, renacy narrowly beats sutton. but two rather controversial-- i guess that's the right word too use-- republican members of the houses are in incredibly tight races right now. allen west in florida is trailing narrowly by about a thousand votes with just a couple percent not yet counted and michele bachmann is up by a margin like that, just a bare narrow lead in a very tight race in minnesota. so we're keeping an eye on that and if both of them were not in the house, i wonder whether that would change the tone of the entire body. i'm not sure. >> and bachmann's seat was redrawn to make it slightly more safe for republicans in redistricting. so that's interesting. we were surprised when we were looking at that, particularly given how much money and effort the republicans put into minnesota at the las
nevada and then heidi heightcamp, former state official in north dakota who's in a very close race. so that could end up being a sizable amount of women coming to the senate. >> two interesting house races. gwen, i'm not sure which house race you're talking about. betty sutton was beaten, renacy narrowly beats sutton. but two rather controversial-- i guess that's the right word too use-- republican members of the houses are in incredibly tight races right now. allen west in florida is...
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Nov 3, 2012
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what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a year ago, president obama's team was very straightforward. they expected it was going to be mitt romney. they were going to make him very unacceptable. the wealthy and out of touch background. they did that. they had a micro targeted micromessage strategy. they said what they were going to do. and stuck to that strategy seems to be with remarkable discipline. if it works, they look really, really smart. the difference between being really smart and really dumb -- [laughter] >> what's remarkable is that they broadcast that, right? >> and the romney campaign never -- or his allies never came up to say, boy, if they're going to do this we should probably define mitt romney. we better define him positively be
what i heard democrats talk about if they can hold ohio, hold wisconsin, paul ryan's home state, hold nevada, they could lose all other swing states, lose the congressional district in maine and come out with exactly 270 electoral votes. gwen: you add it up that way, john? >> that sounds very powerful. what i am struck by is there hasn't been any mystery about this. if you go further than a year ago, president obama's team was very straightforward. they expected it was going to be mitt...
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don't have presidential election results in florida, in nevada. chuck, what can yout still outstand sng. >> >>. >> we don't have any vote fro as soon as we do get some it us to go that for the president, and huge lead out of clarke county, which is something that we expected. out of virginia look i'vehing that's availabley" what remains is scraps of precincts. but with what remains, it's hard to imagine how mitt romney makes up. still vote lef another area where the president did well. so it's hard t how the president's lead he loses that lead there. it's going to then finally florida, the bad news is miami-dade's apparently not going to count all their vote tonight. they have already announced that. so we're not going to have a full count from them. i don' make up wha it looks like that i have to find somewhere. you throw all three of the@) states and electoral votes. the only states the only state they lost was the state of north carolina. >> wow. >> they set that ground map, and death.w there's plentyd about the messaging, but it worked. they p
don't have presidential election results in florida, in nevada. chuck, what can yout still outstand sng. >> >>. >> we don't have any vote fro as soon as we do get some it us to go that for the president, and huge lead out of clarke county, which is something that we expected. out of virginia look i'vehing that's availabley" what remains is scraps of precincts. but with what remains, it's hard to imagine how mitt romney makes up. still vote lef another area where the...
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Nov 6, 2012
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nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a larger component to dump it on the other guy in his closing argument than it is in romney. romney talking about hope and change. that's what obama said four years ago. that's a more uplifting final argument to make. romney looks happier and comfortable with himself making it. the president seems a little weary a little horse and glad to have this over with. i think that's what romney is doing and saying may be a little more attractive. >> if the president does lose reelection what would be the reason? bill o'reilly has his take on that a little bit lart. >> it is time to brew on this. he
nevada both close at 10:00. the president has a small but steady lead there. as the numbers are coming in maybe you can help determine who is going to win. >>> how will they resinate with viewers? >> the two closing arguments i would rather be making the type of one that romney is making than the one that president obama is making. the president is burdened by a record he has basically not done what he said he would do. that is a huge problem for him. so necessarily there is a...
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Nov 4, 2012
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but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at microscopically perfect, you and i know, say ten years ago when you were still doing this show because of your tenacity, and because of my leniency. >> 0 years ago. >> 20 years ago, 30, polls were regarded as a rock makes, these polls today have -- as approximation, these polls today are -- >> there is money to be made. >> one or two -- [ talking over one another ] >> i hate to see this come to an end. >> polls are not that precise. >> if they weren't that precise, why do politicians spend that much money on them? >> they are false idols. they are worshiping the false idol. >> the media are more obsessed with polling than before.
but you have nevada which is leaning towards obama and wisconsin is still leaning towards obama. ohio, is my view, is in dispense able. >> where did you read that nevada is leaning towards obama. >> i haven't seen a poll are romney leading first. it's one-third hispanic, and this heavily unionized. >> i have people there and they don't think that at all. >> that's the wrong neighborhood. >> here's the point i want to make. the polls today are regarded at...
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i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that seems a pretty good indication of where this state is going. i'll give sail ver lia silver l mitt romney, and that is a lot like colorado. nevada has a very high mormon population. 7%, which is actually fairly high, and again, mormons accounted for a quarter of the electorate in the caucuses. so i think if they turn out in big numbers and it's been really hard to tell where they're at, because they haven't been very vocal, but if they turn out in big numbers, i think mitt romney could get the state. i don't expect him to. >> i would expect him to turn out in big n
i think we all have nevada going blue? >> yes. >> remarkably, we all agree on something. >> we all agree on nevada. >> never happened before. >> yeah. i have it going blue because primarily because of early voting. early voting in nevada has 48,000 more democrats than republicans going to the polls in early voting, casting 700,000 votes. if projections go as planned and they get an 80% turnout, that means 70% of the votes have already been cast there. so me, that...
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Nov 7, 2012
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if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we want to see all of what's going on. the excitement there at obama's campaign headquarters. let's go back to anderson. >> historic moment. you'll want to see that live with your families. let's talk about what john king was just mentioning. extraordinary to think about george w. bush getting 44% of the latino vote. what a difference a couple of years make. >> it wasn't because he spoke broken spanish. it was because he tried. he talked in the correct tone. he tried. i would tell you that mitt romney lost this race in the republican primary. he self-
if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we...
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what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is they are at 248. then you look at ohio which i think the early vote numbers are clear indication of of what is going to happen in ohio. that s another 18 electoral votes. and then colorado which is, you know, is in the rcp average just under water, 9/10 of a percent. but that is largely because of a couple of outliar polls that have huge numbers more democrats than republicans. i think we are going to win colorado and that gets you 275. and we are going to pick up out of ohio, new hampshire, nevada or minnesota, pennsylvania or wisconsin we are going to pick
what do you make of colorado, nevada, iowa, new hampshire? >> well, look, the easiest way to look at this is even if you look at the real clear politics average which includes a lot of the goofy quinnipiac poles and marist polls. the republicans are winning, indiana,, north carolina, virginia and florida. in fact, if you take a look at that all of the mccain states plus 30s that they are waning and i do think they are going to win, republicans are going to win all four of these states. is...
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iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but mitt romney is very, very much in that game. he needs to win florida, north carolina, and virginia and also win the state of ohio to get from where he is now, he's on track now to win 191 electoral votes. president obama is in line for 251. we're going to have to wait until more votes are counted before we know who gets there. >> >> your thoughts of where we stand and what this means for the economy. >> what you have is, of course, what we do know is that the republicans will hold on to the house of representatives. that the ve increase in the nu
iowa and nevada are too early to call. in florida at least an hour wait in line at already closed polls still lies ahead for some voters. democrats picking up three additional seats. republicans are projected to retain control. >> let's get to john harwood with a look at where we stand in the map room. >> we're still awaiting the seven swing states. florida and the state of virginia are both extremely close races. if president obama wins the state of florida, the race is over. but...
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. >> i don't know what the heck he was doing in nevada while people are still being discovered dead in new york. if i were the president of the united states, i sure wouldn't be flitting around the midwest and the west and my job would be making sure this thing was followed through to the very end. >> what is your reaction to that? >> well, rudy giuliani might be the only person in america who believes that. i know he's a former mayor of new york but the current mayor of new york, the governors of new jersey, connecticut, new york, local officials, they know this president and his administration are working every day to stand by them. so i think that the president, as we have been campaigning these last few days, every moment he's not on the stage, he's on the phone. he was today, with governors and local officials in the region, talking to his director of fema, our director of homeland security, and i think that where the focus needs to be is how do we stand by those in new york, new jersey, connecticut, west virginia, who have been affected. this is going to take awhile to recover fr
. >> i don't know what the heck he was doing in nevada while people are still being discovered dead in new york. if i were the president of the united states, i sure wouldn't be flitting around the midwest and the west and my job would be making sure this thing was followed through to the very end. >> what is your reaction to that? >> well, rudy giuliani might be the only person in america who believes that. i know he's a former mayor of new york but the current mayor of new...
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nevada is one of the worst states for housing. nevada and florida. host: 61.2% of all nevada mortgages are underwater. nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the country. they moved from 14% to a 11.8%. still fantastically high. one reason -- they moved from 14% to 11.8% host: virginia has one of the lowest unemployment rates. if you believe the polls, they think mitt romney might win virginia. barack obama mike win of nevada, where the unemployment rate is much higher. -- might win nevada, where the unemployment rate is much higher. guest: there are complicated reasons for that. virginia has seen quite a bit of uncertainty lazy. with the fiscal cliff, are a lot of government workers who live in virginia. with the potential spending cuts and defense cuts coming, it is making employers shaky about hiring. host: if you look at manufacturing in pennsylvania, it mirrors ohio in terms of the employment rate. have you looked at that states? guest: the unemployment rate has not moved a lot. that could be one reason why voters are still trying to decide
nevada is one of the worst states for housing. nevada and florida. host: 61.2% of all nevada mortgages are underwater. nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the country. they moved from 14% to a 11.8%. still fantastically high. one reason -- they moved from 14% to 11.8% host: virginia has one of the lowest unemployment rates. if you believe the polls, they think mitt romney might win virginia. barack obama mike win of nevada, where the unemployment rate is much higher. -- might win...
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the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
the polls will be closing at 10:00 o'clock in nevada and montana, 10:00 o'clock eastern time, nevada is the home of leader harry reid, and dean heller in nevada as well. an appointed person to the sea, trying to hold onto that seat there from a strong challenge by congresswoman shelley berkley. that deal the one thank you very much. just about 30 seconds away from the next state closing. iowa, nevada, utah. lou: it looks like a night in which
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Nov 6, 2012
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say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has got to get a lot more than that. >> john harwood, thank you very much. as john outlined it is very difficult for either candidate, frankly, to get to that magic 270 number without the state of ohio and here's video evidence from cleveland as to how important it is. both the romney and the biden campaign planes making stops at the cleveland hopkins airport and holding last-minute appearances in the state. our senior correspondent scott cohn is in the buckeye state, a state with the state of the economy actually cuts both ways. scott? >> yeah, it does, tyler. first, a look at how th
say it again, ohio, nevada -- >> ohio, wisconsin, nevada. if barack obama gets those three, can win every other swing state -- >> do the polls tell us that he is ahead in those three? >> yes. >> they do? >> he is ahead in all three. in fact of the nine swing states, tyler, mitt romney has a clear lead only in the state of north carolina. he is even with president obama in florida and many strategists in both parties believe florida will go to mitt romney but he has...
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. >> reporter: rounding out his day campaign stops in nevada and colorado. it combined 15elect, roal votes. the running mates also out in full force. four campaign events between the two. in iowa, the vice president accused the romney campaign of flip-flopping. > >> they are shameless. >> reporter: in colorado paul ryan argued the obama policies aren't working >> reporter: over the next several days you can expect to see more events just like those in the remaining swing states. also though don't be surprise fire department the campaigns -- surprised if the campaigns decide to add extra stops. >> talked more about where they will be so tell us in the remaining days where. >> reporter: this is going to be one busy schedule for both of them. let's start with romney and show you what he will be up too tomorrow. he will travel to wisconsin and ohio and then over the weekend he will make five more trips to different states. moving onto obama tomorrow he will be in ohio as well and then he will visit six other battleground states over the weekend. we found out fro
. >> reporter: rounding out his day campaign stops in nevada and colorado. it combined 15elect, roal votes. the running mates also out in full force. four campaign events between the two. in iowa, the vice president accused the romney campaign of flip-flopping. > >> they are shameless. >> reporter: in colorado paul ryan argued the obama policies aren't working >> reporter: over the next several days you can expect to see more events just like those in the remaining...
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Nov 5, 2012
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nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your own map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is alex tomp kins. >> he agrees with me on
nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your own map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we...
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ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are right. the overwhelming majority of the time when someone holds a lead of this magnitude, this consistently, they wine up winning. and, you know, there are reasons to think the polls could be off. it's tough to talk to people on cell phones. assumptions about turn out are more important than ever. but, yeah, you're right i think the polls have to be wrong at this state level. >> polls ask who are you going to vote for but there's data around polls who do you think will win and that's extraordinarily predictive. why is that qu
ohio, wisconsin, nevada. are we at a point where the only hope for romney there's something wrong in the method oflg these state polls? >> i think we're about at that point opinion he has a couple of days left for him to make a come back. there isn't a single poll, a single nonpartisan poll in ohio, wisconsin or nevada that shows romney in the lead. and, yes, you know the polls have been wrong before and it's conceivable that things can be off. you can ask about sharon engel if polls are...
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Nov 10, 2012
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nevada, definitely. the right in the country and especially the ultraconservatives in the republican party had pushed african-americans and hispanics together. they have a politics where sort of a nasty braggadocio, if you watch the primaries, where you have to be slashed and burn in how you attack your enemies, that very much does not go over with hispanics. some of the things that were said -- i have spoken to a well known latino pollster about this. he said a white person has friends and extended family -- that number is 8. a hispanic person has that number at about 50. if you are a slash and burn person, that is your style, you are not going to go over well with latinos. african americans and latinos have been pushed together. if you look at it in class terms, african-americans, the largest proportion of african americans and latinos are working class and have similar interests in terms of government. >> any additional questions? >> you were talking about the turnout during the midterms. you did not
nevada, definitely. the right in the country and especially the ultraconservatives in the republican party had pushed african-americans and hispanics together. they have a politics where sort of a nasty braggadocio, if you watch the primaries, where you have to be slashed and burn in how you attack your enemies, that very much does not go over with hispanics. some of the things that were said -- i have spoken to a well known latino pollster about this. he said a white person has friends and...
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. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running for president. >> an underdog senator. nobody thought that he had a chance. now he's the president. >> romney: that is quite an orlando welcome. we ask that you stay at this all the way until victory on tuesday night. >> i stood with president obama four years ago and i'm proud to be standing here with him today. [ singing ] >> every day i'm concerned about women's rights and health issues. i don't need to tell you about the dangers to roe versus wade. >> tomorrow we begin a new tomorrow. >> we know what change looks like then ♪ ohio ♪ make some noise ♪ >
. >> nevada i take more votes away from obama. in north carolina, michigan, i take more votes away from romney. i think it's really equal on both sides. >> cenk: now wait until i show you the numbers how much different it is when you include a third-party candidate in which no polling was done until two days ago. oh boy, and the elbow of the day, that's republican-on-republican crime. everybody, it's go time. >> romney: i'm mitt romney. i believe in america. and i'm running...
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>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just today, so give him wisconsin, iowa, and the state of ohio, he's at 237. so on the remaining map here you see these strategies in the final moments now and where they pick and where they go and the reasons why. say the president were to pick pennsylvania, he's at 255. and so now at this moment based on this scenario and all the polling we have seen maybe he takes michigan. that would be enough to get him to 271. >> this shows the centrality of ohio. i don't think he's going to carry ohio. i've been food link on th7,000 democ
>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just...
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mail in both here in california and here in the west we're also waiting to hear what will happen in nevada considered a swing state it looks like it's starting to lean towards president obama the democrats and latino groups were very aggressive in their voter registration drives there and you know nevada is really emblematic of the problems that the g.o.p. has had in reaching out to latino voters and the infamous or famous i guess demographic shift to the reality that is happening here in the united states of republican party doesn't not only doesn't want to acknowledge they seem to be trying to drag us back to one nine hundred fifty by their fingernails ramon very excellent report thank you so so so very much i'm curious meghan you're at the white house washington d.c. right on the virginia border what any any word on what's going on in virginia we're still waiting to to get something definitive out of that state. absolutely and what we do know is that it's pretty common for the white house but over in virginia in the polling stations there it is anything but calm virginia of course close
mail in both here in california and here in the west we're also waiting to hear what will happen in nevada considered a swing state it looks like it's starting to lean towards president obama the democrats and latino groups were very aggressive in their voter registration drives there and you know nevada is really emblematic of the problems that the g.o.p. has had in reaching out to latino voters and the infamous or famous i guess demographic shift to the reality that is happening here in the...
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Nov 8, 2012
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but in florida, in virginia, and colorado and in nevada, four swing states, it was the hispanic americans who gave the plurality. >> they pushed him over the top. >> bill: to president obama. >> that's correct. >> bill: that's four states, four big ones. >> it does reflect something that the republicans need to address going forward. >> bill: romney made a huge mistake in the primary when he said, doctor, that people here ill illegally should self-deport. the reason it was a mistake is because it wasn't really explained what he meant. i don't think it was a nefarious thing. he didn't really explain it. it got, you know, taken, twisted around, spun as ominous, you knows, an-on-ominous statement to americans. that put romney right from the jump. that's what happened. >> you don't generally get the votes of people you insult. i think you are right. some hispanics, many hispanics. >> bill: it wasn't an intentional insult. it was a solution to a problem that governor put forth but didn't fully explain. >> but the other part of it, bill, you mentioned, too. and i happen to agree with you. this
but in florida, in virginia, and colorado and in nevada, four swing states, it was the hispanic americans who gave the plurality. >> they pushed him over the top. >> bill: to president obama. >> that's correct. >> bill: that's four states, four big ones. >> it does reflect something that the republicans need to address going forward. >> bill: romney made a huge mistake in the primary when he said, doctor, that people here ill illegally should self-deport. the...
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Nov 6, 2012
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i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election day. we have advantage on the early vote. we've done significant work with voter registration in that state. we're close in florida. again, significant advantage on early vote. and done a lot of work on voter registration. >> can i run that through the universal political translator and say you're most worried about north carolina and florida? >> those are your words. >> let me bring in david gergen. he's also got a question. >> stephanie, good to see you. tell us what three things we should be looking for tomorrow night as a sense of which way it's going. what are you going to be looking for? >
i will give you nevada as your best of the battleground states. what's your worst? what are you most worried about? >> well, you know, john, somebody was quoted yesterday as saying that's like choosing between our children. >> so choose. >> we are tied or -- i'm not going to do that. we're tied or ahead in every single battleground state. certainly some of them are tighter than others. north carolina is extremely tight. but we're pleased with where we are going into election...